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| Suspicion Leads Conspiracy Theorists To Contradictory Conclusions |
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| Living - Society | |||
| TS-Si News Service | |||
| Saturday, 28 January 2012 10:00 | |||
Los Angeles, CA, USA. People who endorse conspiracy theories see authorities as part of a broader conspiracy of elites and fundamentally deceptive, fueling a conviction that what they have been told is untrue.This suspicion of authorities and the claims they make often can lead people to believe several alternative theories despite contradictions among them. Distrust and paranoia about government has a long history, "Any conspiracy theory that stands in opposition to the official narrative will gain some degree of endorsement from someone who holds a conpiracist worldview," according to Michael Wood, Karen Douglas and Robbie Sutton of the University of Kent. The researchers conducted a study of the phenomenon and published their findings in the journal Social Psychological and Personality Science.To see if conspiracy views were strong enough to lead to inconsistencies, the researchers asked 137 college students about the death of Princess Diana. The more people thought there was "an official campaign by the intelligence service to assassinate Diana", the more they also believed that "Diana faked her own death to retreat into isolation." Of course, Diana cannot be simultaneously dead and alive. The researchers wanted to know if the contradictory beliefs were due to suspicion of authorities, so they asked 102 college students about the death of Osama bin Laden (OBL). People who believed that "when the raid took place, OBL was already dead," were significantly more likely to also believe that "OBL is still alive." Since bin Laden is not Schrödinger's cat, he must either be alive or dead. The researchers found that the belief that the "actions of the Obama administration indicate that they are hiding some important or damaging piece of information about the raid" was responsible for the connection between the two conspiracy theories. Conspiracy belief is so potent that it will lead to belief in completely inconsistent ideas. "For conspiracy theorists, those in power are seen as deceptive even malevolent and so any official explanation is at a disadvantage, and any alternative explanation is more credible from the start," said the authors. It is no surprise that fear, mistrust, and even paranoia can lead to muddled thinking; when distrust is engaged, careful reasoning can coast on by. "Believing Osama is still alive," they write, 'is no obstacle to believing that he has been dead for years." CitationDead and Alive: Beliefs in Contradictory Conspiracy Theories. Michael J. Wood, Karen M. Douglas, and Robbie M. Sutton. Social Psychological and Personality Science 2012. doi:10.1177/1948550611434786
Download PDF Abstract Conspiracy theories can form a monological belief system: A self-sustaining worldview comprised of a network of mutually supportive beliefs. The present research shows that even mutually incompatible conspiracy theories are positively correlated in endorsement. In Study 1 (n = 137), the more participants believed that Princess Diana faked her own death, the more they believed that she was murdered. In Study 2 (n = 102), the more participants believed that Osama Bin Laden was already dead when U.S. special forces raided his compound in Pakistan, the more they believed he is still alive. Hierarchical regression models showed that mutually incompatible conspiracy theories are positively associated because both are associated with the view that the authorities are engaged in a cover-up (Study 2). The monological nature of conspiracy belief appears to be driven not by conspiracy theories directly supporting one another but by broader beliefs supporting conspiracy theories in general. Keywords: conspiracy theories, conspiracism, contradiction, explanatory coherence.
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| Last Updated on Saturday, 28 January 2012 01:03 |



Los Angeles, CA, USA. People who endorse conspiracy theories see authorities as part of a broader conspiracy of elites and fundamentally deceptive, fueling a conviction that what they have been told is untrue.
theory
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